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Is 2025 going to make Bitcoin great again?

March 6, 2025

Bitcoin may well be the supreme crypto given its value and the indelible mark it has left on the industry, but the highs and lows it has gone through over time have chipped away at investors’ confidence quite a bit. Once praised for its disruptive nature and wealth generation potential and placed on a pedestal by those who thought it was going to fundamentally change the financial system, Bitcoin is now regarded through a more sensible and realistic lens.   

Given the asset’s evolution, one can’t help but wonder if the Bitcoin bubble has burst for good or if there’s more to come. Last year, we saw the original crypto rise on the hype ignited by the re-election of Donald Trump as the 45th President of the United States. Since Trump won over the electorate with the promise of making America great again, could his presumably crypto-friendly administration make Bitcoin regain its greatness as well? 

Looking at the latest BTC price prediction data, one could say that it’s very much possible for Trump’s pledge to spill over into the crypto space and turn Bitcoin into a superstar once again. Some forecasts are bolder than others, ranging from $200K to $100 million. However, Bitcoin’s fate in 2025 will most likely be shaped by a combination of price drivers that require careful analysis.

Increased adoption

The authorization of the first batch of spot Bitcoin exchange traded funds (ETFs) in the U.S., after more than ten years of rejected applications, came as a major victory not only for Bitcoin but the entire crypto industry. It marked a new stage in the evolution of digital currencies, signaling increased interest in crypto assets from individual investors and institutions alike. 

In less than a year, BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) became the most successful ETF in history, surpassing $50 billion in assets under management. The emergence of these novel financial products has made it easier (and safer) than ever for retail and institutional investors to gain access to Bitcoin, encouraging them to participate in the crypto economy. 

The impact on the Bitcoin price was immediately noticeable. The fast growth of spot BTC ETFs was partly responsible for the asset’s appreciation last year and highlighted its appeal as a borderless financial instrument. But more important than that, spot BTC ETFs triggered a shift in investors’ perception. Bitcoin is now seen as the representative of a more legitimate asset class, which could lead to even greater adoption in the future.  

At the moment, the fragmentation of the cryptocurrency landscape limits access to digital assets for investors from different parts of the world and causes uneven adoption. For example, in countries like China, India, Russia, Morocco and Bolivia, the use of crypto is either limited or completely banned.  

However, these barriers could come down if there’s enough interest from financial institutions and organizations. More lenient crypto regulations and policies could result in a more homogenous market. Naturally, Bitcoin is bound to reap the biggest rewards if that’s going to be the general direction in 2025, with analysts like Tom Lee and Bitwise Asset Management estimating a potential growth of up to $250K.

Halving-induced appreciation

The halving event of April 2024 slashed the Bitcoin mining reward from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC. This quadrennial reduction is a deflationary feature that has been built into Bitcoin’s core structure with the purpose of maintaining scarcity and ensuring long-term appreciation. This is based on the idea that limiting the coin supply could increase demand and, therefore, boost the value of the remaining tokens. 

So far, the mechanism seems to have worked as intended. Historically, halvings have preceded major bullish rallies, causing the Bitcoin price to appreciate substantially. While there is no guarantee of history repeating itself, analysts seem to believe that a similar phenomenon could arise this year. 

The main argument in this respect is the long-term effect that past halvings have had on the supply-demand dynamic and, consequently, on Bitcoin’s price evolution. The rate cut doesn’t produce a sudden change in price, as some might think, but sets the stage for sustained growth in the long run. In a bullish scenario, the following months could bring considerable gains for Bitcoin and push its value close to the $400K mark, according to certain experts. 

Moreover, Bitcoin’s shrinking supply coupled with rising demand could make the asset an attractive option for many developing countries looking for solutions to fight inflation. Having Bitcoin serve as a reserve asset in economies such as Venezuela, Argentina, Sudan, and Turkey might bolster its standing in the financial system. 

El Salvador, for example, is already trying to leverage Bitcoin’s decentralized nature to address the economic challenges they are facing. Although the government continues to grapple with many hurdles in this regard, El Salvador’s crypto experiment could inspire other struggling economies to follow the same path.

A global coin

It’s not just large financial institutions and governments that seem to be waking up to Bitcoin’s potential. Corporations also appear more willing to integrate crypto into their financial structures. Tesla, MicroStrategy, and Block are just some of the companies that have already embraced Bitcoin as a financial solution, and if we were to listen to expert predictions, many more are expected to follow suit in the future. 

The global economic outlook also seems to favor Bitcoin’s ascent. Geo-political tensions, rising inflation, and financial instability are all pushing people and organizations from all across the world towards alternative assets, and Bitcoin is, without a doubt, the most appealing of them all.

Final thoughts

In 2024, Bitcoin increased by 120%. By the looks of it, 2025 could be a year of even greater gains for Bitcoin. How great exactly, is hard to tell yet, but predictions are definitely leaning on the positive. Nevertheless, one should also consider the possibility of Bitcoin having a bad run this year since nothing is set in stone when it comes to crypto. With many shifting factors influencing crypto trends, caution is always advisable when navigating this volatile market.  

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